Saturday Horse Racing Trends & Free Tips: 21st Sept 2019

It’s Ayr Gold Cup day at the Scottish venue this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 8 LIVE races in total.

As always, we’ve  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.

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Saturday 21st September 2019

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.00 – William Hill Foundation: Uniting Against Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Had won over 1m before
11/12 – Won between 2-6 times before
10/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Winners from stalls 9 or lower
10/12 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
10/12 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
9/12 – Aged 4 or older
9/12 – Returned between 7/1-14/1 in the betting
7/12 – Had run at the track before
7/12 – Rated between 89-93
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/12 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/12 – Winning favourites
Waarif (12/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.40 – William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

16/16 – Carried 8-11 or more
14/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Previous winners over 6f
13/16 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/16 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
12/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
11/16 – Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/16 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/16 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
2/16 – Winning Favourites
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
Snazzy Jazzy (11/1) won the race in 2018
Tatlisu won the race in 2015
Huntsmans Close won the race in 2014

 

3.15 – William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/16 – Had never raced at Ayr before
13/16 – Previous winners over 6f
13/16 – Had won once or two times before
13/16 – Winning distance 1 length or further
12/16 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/16 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
11/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/16 – Winning favourites
Queen Of Bermuda (9/2 fav) won the race in 2018

 

3.50 – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

18/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
14/18 – Had won over 6f before
13/18 – Failed to win their last race
12/18 – Carried 9-1 or more
12/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Rated 90-101
11/18 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/18 – Had 7 or more runs that season
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Had raced at Ayr before
9/18 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
9/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/18 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Winning favourites (3 winning favs since 1980)
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower (4 of the last 14 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 15/1
Note: The 2019 renewal was a dead-heat

Note: The 2017 renewal was staged at Haydock

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.45 – Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

17/17 – Raced four or more times that season
15/17 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
15/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/17 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
14/17 – Won a Listed or Group race before
13/17 – Won over 5f previously
12/17 – Aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/17 – Won 4 or more times
8/17 – Previous Group race winners
6/17 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 6 winners)
6/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Favourites
4/17 – Mare winners
Mr Lupton (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018

2.20 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

17/17 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
16/17 – Priced 9/1 or less
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
12/17 – Had 4 or more career wins
11/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Raced at Newbury before
8/17 – Raced 5 or more times that season
8/17 – Had won a Group race before
6/17 – Won their last race
4/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Trained by David Simcock (including 3 of last 4 runnings)
3/17 – Raced at York last time
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Young Rascal (5/2) won the race in 2018

 

2.55 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

14/17 – Won from draw 5 or lower
14/17 – Raced 3 or more times
14/17 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
13/17 – Won over 6f previously
12/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Foaled in March or later
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/17 – Favourites (or joint) to win
8/17 – Won exactly two races before
7/17 – Won by an April foal
5/17 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/17 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/17 – Filly winners

 

3.30 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y ITV4

15/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/17 – Won at least twice previously
12/17 – Won from stall 7 or higher
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Raced 5 or more times that season
11/17 – Officially rated between 89 and 94
11/17 – Won over 1m2f previously
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old
9/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/17 – Won from a double-figure draw
7/17 – Returned a double-figure price
6/17 – Had raced at Newbury before (2 won)
4/17 – Trained by Luca Cumani
4/17 – Won their last race
4/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint, 1 Co)
Buzz (9/1) won the race in 2018

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