2020 St Leger Free Tips and Trends

The Pertemps-sponsored St Leger is the oldest of the five British flat racing Classics, as well as the longest in trip. Run at Doncaster racecourse and over a distance of 1m6f it’s a race for 3 year-olds only.

This contest is targeted by horses that ran in that season’s Great Voltigeur, with 8 of the last 18 winners having ran in that York race before winning this, while in recent years with seen 8 winning favourites in the last 18 runnings.

Look out for John Gosden-trained horses as this powerful Newmarket stable has won the race four times in the last 18 years, while top Irish handler – Aidan O’Brien has saddled the winner of the St Leger six times, including 3 of the last 7 seasons with Leading Light, Capri and Kew Gardens. Also note any Godolphin-owned entries as they these famous blue silks have won the final English Classic of the season a staggering six times!

Here at RACING AHEAD we’ve got all the key stats ahead of the 2020 renewal – this year run on Saturday 12th September.

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Recent St Leger Winners

2019 – Logician (5/6 fav)
2018 – Kew Gardens (3/1)
2017 – Capri (3/1 fav)
2016 – Harbour Law (22/1)
2015 – Simple Verse (8/1)
2014 – Kingston Hill (9/4 fav)
2013 – Leading Light (7/2 fav)
2012 – Encke (25/1)
2011 – Masked Marvel (15/2)
2010 – Arctic Cosmos (12/1)
2009 – Mastery (14/1)
2008 – Conduit (8/1)
2007 – Lucarno (7/2)
2006 – Sixties Icon (11/8 fav)
2005 – Scorpion (10/11 fav)
2004 – Rule of Law (3/1 jfav)
2003 – Brian Boru (5/4 fav)
2002 – Bollin Eric (7/1)

Key St Leger Trends

16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
15/18 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
14/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won a Group race before
13/18 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
13/18 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
12/18 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
11/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
11/18 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
10/18 – Officially rated 109 to 115
10/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/18 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
4/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
3/18 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/18 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (6 wins in total)
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
2/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 7/1

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: A race that’s been dominated by the John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien yards in recent times – they’ve won 9 of the last 18 runnings between them. However, we’ve no Gosden entries this year. O’Brien has several entered though and that this stage his Santiago (if running) looks their main hope. He landed the Irish Derby back in June and wasn’t disgraced when 2 ¼ lengths third to Stradivarius in the Goodwood Cup last time out. Prior to those runs he won well over this trip at Ascot and really this looks his ideal distance – with 2m probably stretching him and 1m4f a bit sharp – if running he’d be a big player. Epsom Derby fifth English King could be interesting now upped in trip, while Irish handler, Joseph O’Brien sends over his Galileo Chrome, who has won his last three in impressive fashion and could be anything. Pyledriver would be a big winner for the William Muir yard and he certainly wasn’t stopping when winning the Great Voltigeur at York last time out over 1m4f– that race is often a good guide to this, with 8 of the last 18 St Leger winners having run in that race. But the one I’m going to side with is HUKUM. This Owen Burrows runner is one of the lesser exposed runners in the field (4 runs), but was an easy winner of the Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury last time out over 1m 5 1/2f, so we know he stays the trip well. Jim Crowley, who has ridden him in all four of his career races, continues in the saddle. Of the rest, a small saver is also advised on the Mark Johnston-trained SUBJECTIVIST (e/w). This 3 year-old bolted-up in the March Stakes last time out and is proven over this trip. He’s one of the more experienced in the field (13 runs) and despite having 8 lengths to find with Pyledriver based on their Great Voltigeur run in August, I feel the longer trip will suit him better and can get a lot closer this time.

This article was brought to you by Racing Ahead magazine, UK and Ireland's best-selling horse racing monthly magazine. Previewing the key races for the month ahead, as well as reports from our trusted scouts on the track, Racing Ahead is packed with interviews, big-race tips, horses to follow, systems and much more!
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