2020 1,000 Guineas Free Tips and Trends

First run back in 1814, the 1,000 Guineas is a Group One flat race run over 1m just for 3 year-old fillies. The contest is one of the five English Classics and staged at Newmarket racecourse in late April or early May each year.

It’s the second of the five English Classics with the 2,000 Guineas run the day before being the first, while winners of this race often go onto run well in that year’s Epsom Oaks the following month – the last horses to land both races in the same season was Kazzia in 2002 and Minding in 2016.

We look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats & trends to take into the 2020 renewal – the English 2000 Guineas is set to be run on Sunday June 7th.

Did you know? 16 of the last 18 1,000 Guineas winners were placed in the top three in their last race.

Recent 1,000 Guineas Winners

2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
2018 – Billesdon Brook (66/1)
2017 – Winter (9/1)
2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
2014 – Miss France (7/1)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
2012 – Homecoming Queen (25/1)
2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
2004 – Attraction (11/2)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
2002 – Kazzia (14/1)

1,000 Guineas Betting Trends

16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Had won between 2-3 times before
13/18 – Had won a Group race before
13/18 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
11/18 – Won their previous race
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/18 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/18 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
7/18 – Favourites unplaced
7/18 – Irish-trained winners
6/18 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/18 – Previous Group One winners
5/18 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/18 – Won by a US bred horse
4/18 – Won by the favourite
3/18 – French-trained winners
3/18 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained five winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019)

Having trained five winners in this fillies Classic, then trainer Aidan O’Brien always has to be feared. He’s got just the one entry this year – Love – but she looks to hold every chance on what she’s shown to date. Last seen running third to another of the main fancies – Quadrilateral – in the G1 Fillies’ Mile over this course and distance back in October. He’s got 1 ¾ lengths to find with that horse though so would have had to have found some improvement over the last 8 months. Millisle is another to consider, from the Jessie Harrington yard. This 3 year-old is yet to finish out of the first two from 5 runs, but the big question mark is the step up from 6f to 1m. Breeding might suggest it will be touch and go as to whether she gets the extra yardage. She also beat another runner here – RAFFLE PRIZE (e/w) – here in the Cheveley Park Stakes last September, but I feel this Mark Johnston runner might be able to overturn that form. The Johnston yard have started back from the break in cracking form so this 3 year-old is sure to be fully wound up for this. Yes, he’s another that needs to prove she will get this mile, with all recent runs at 6f. However, breeding suggests she’s got a leading chance of seeing out the longer trip, especially now she’ll be a much stronger horse with just over 8 months since her last outing. Others to consider are Cloak Of Spirits, plus Frankie and Gosden team-up with Shimmering. While the only Godolphin runner in the race is Summer Romance. Having said all this, it’s still hard to knock the form of QUADRILATERAL. This Frankel filly is still unbeaten (3-from-3) and is one of the few runners to have proven she stays this 1m trip. She’s also won here on the track over this distance and won’t mind the quicker ground. She can be expected to have improved again over the winter months and looks a very exciting prospect to further enhance the tall reputation her father – Frankel – already has.  

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