2020 Winter Derby Free Tips and Trends

2020 Winter Derby Betting Trends – First run in 1998 the Betway-sponsored Winter Derby is staged at Lingfield racecourse and run on their All Weather track. The 1m2f contest in now a Group 3 race after being upgraded from Listed class back in 2006. In recent years a 4 year-old has won the race 4 times in the last 9 runnings, while it could pay to concentrate on horses aged 6 or younger as this age group has been responsible for 14 of the last 17 winners – last year the John Gosden-trained Wissahickon won the race easily as the short-priced favourite. Here at RACING AHEAD we look back at the recent winners and gives you all the key stats to take in the 2020 renewal – this year run on Saturday 22nd February.

Recent Lingfield Winter Derby Winners

2019 – WISSAHICKON (1/4 fav) 2018 – MASTER THE WORLD (16/1) 2017 – CONVEY (11/2) 2016 – GRENDISAR (11/4) 2015 – TRYSTER (3/1 fav) 2014 – ROBIN HOODS BAY (10/1) 2013 – FARRAAJ (6/4 fav) 2012 – PREMIO LOCO (5/1) 2011 – NIDEEB (9/4 fav) 2010 – TRANQUIL TIGER (11/8 fav) 2009 – SCINTILLO (8/1) 2008 – HATTAN (14/1) 2007 – GENTLEMAN’S DEAL (4/1 jfav) 2006 – SRI DIAMOND (8/1) 2005 – ECCENTRIC (7/2) 2004 – CALUKI (14/1) 2003 – PARASOL (5/2 jfav)

Key Lingfield Winter Derby Betting Trends

16/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter 14/17 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger 13/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market 13/17 – Had run at Lingfield previously 13/17 – Won over at least 1m2f previously 13/17 – Had raced at either Lingfield (8) or Kempton (4) last time out 12/17 – Winning distance – less than a length 11/17 – Placed in their last race 11/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or less 11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the market 11/17 – Won at Lingfield previously 11/17 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks 10/17 – Won their last race 9/17 – Won at least 6 times previously 8/17 – Winning favourites Just 2 of the last 14 Winter Derby Trial winners have gone onto win the Winter Derby The average winning SP in the 17 renewals is 6/1   Trainer John Gosden won this race 12 months ago and he looks to have another strong hand – this time with Dubai Warrior and Court House. Of the pair, Court House was runner-up in the race 12 months ago so has to be respected, but was also fairly well-beaten last time out here behind Bangkok. CD winner, Dubai Warrior will have a certain Frankie Dettori riding and also beat Court House easily last time (3 ¾ lengths). There is only four pounds between Dubai Warrior and BANGKOK, but that still might be enough to see the Andrew Balding runner prevail. This 4 year-old took well to the surface and the track on his sole run here last time out when winning the AW Derby Trial by an easy 4 ½ lengths and a repeat of that run would see him very hard to beat. Of the rest, the 2018 winner of this race – Master The World – isn’t getting any younger at 9 years-old but might just outrun his odd – if there are firms offering top 3 or 4 places in this 7 runner race, then he could be the place value.

This article was brought to you by Racing Ahead magazine, UK and Ireland's best-selling horse racing monthly magazine. Previewing the key races for the month ahead, as well as reports from our trusted scouts on the track, Racing Ahead is packed with interviews, big-race tips, horses to follow, systems and much more!
On-sale nationwide or subscribe HERE

Tagged

FFC Blog Network
[snack_ad id="6539157" type="1by1"]