More LIVE horse racing action this Sunday as the ITV3 cameras head to Sandown Park – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.
SANDOWN Horse Racing Trends (Live ITV/RacingTV)
2.00 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl3 5f ITV3
11/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
10/12 – Had won over this 5f trip
9/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Rated between 80-93
8/12 – Had run at Sandown before (3 winners)
8/12 – Drawn 7 or higher
7/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
5/12 – Rated between 85-87
2/12 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
1/12 – Winning favourites (joint)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: With 11 of the last 12 winners aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old then that’s a negative for Blue De Vega, who is the only 7 year-old in the field. Not winning last time out is another trends to note – this would be another negative for Blue De Vega, plus Mountain Peak, Dave Dexter and Benny and the Jets. CD winner Leodis Dream should be better suited by this drop to 5f after running out of petrol over further at York in the week – A better run can be expected and a bold bid from the front is expected. Saaheq is another proven CD winner that a case can be made for, but I’ll side with COWBOY SOLDIER (e/w), who gets weight from all the others. He’s got 4 ½ lengths to find with Benny and the Jets based on their last run but is 3lbs better off and the first time visor can also help eke out some more improvement.
2.30 – Betway Handicap Cl2 1m2f7y ITV3
15/18 – Had 4 or more runs that season
13/18 – Ran at Haydock, York, Newmarket or Goodwood last time
12/18 – Unplaced favourites
12/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/18 – Won 3 or more times before
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
9/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/18 – Had run at Sandown before (4 won)
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
7/18 – Won last time out
3/18 –Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5 of the last 7 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Hyanna won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: Victory Chime is a past CD winner at the track and heads here in good order after a win at Windsor last time out, but is up 2lbs and this looks harder. Davydenko has been gelded since his last run and should find this drop into a handicap easier, but I’d like to see a return to form on the track first – Ryan Moore riding, however, is an obvious plus. Data Protection has run well at the track in the past and off a light weight can be considered too. Muraad looks an improver after a nice Goodwood win last time out, but is up 5lbs here. It would be an amazing training feat for High End to win as this as this Godolphin runner has had 1045 days off the track – but is sure to be ready. So, the call is to stick with last year’s winner – HYANNA – and also the Andrew Balding runner – GOOD BIRTHDAY. Hyanna is 9lbs higher than last year, but looks a better for to me and comes here in good order after a close second at Ascot recently. The drop back to 1m2f is fine and jockey Georgina Dobie gets on well with her. Good Birthday needs to improve on recent runs but as a result is slipping to a handy mark – last win came off 3lbs higher – and I feel he’ll be exploiting it soon.
3.05 –Betway Atalanta Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m14y ITV3
15/18 – Had 3 or more runs that season
14/18 – Had won over a mile before
14/18 – Winning distance 1 1/2 or less
13/18 – Priced 9/2 or shorter
13/18 – Aged 3 years-old
11/18 – Placed last time out
11/18 – Had won 3 or more times before
11/18 – Had won a Listed or Group class race
11/18 – Rated between 98 and 108
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/18 – Had run at Sandown before
Lavender’s Blue (12/1) won the race in 2019
Veracious (10/11 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: LAVENDER’S BLUE (e/w) won this race 12 months ago and can go well again. She’s been running well in better races than this recently and would have had this race as a target all season. Any rain would be a slight issue, but he’s still worth having an interest in. The consistent Billesdon Brook is another that can be in the mix in this easier grade, but he’s a horse that just doesn’t win enough for me. Lady Bowthorpe and course winners Maamora and Look Around have to be considered too, but the clear form pick in this Group Three is the Roger Charlton-trained QUADRILATERAL. This 3 year-old is the top-rated in the field at 114 and being a 3 year-old also gets 6lbs from the older horses. Ryan Moore has been booked to ride too and having not disgraced (third) in the G1 1,000 Guineas and G1 Coronation Stakes, this drop into a G3 gives her a big chance to get back to winning ways.
3.40 –Betway Solario Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f16y ITV3
17/18 – Never raced at Sandown before
17/18 – Had won at least one race before
16/18 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
15/18 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Had 2 or more previous runs
11/18– Won last time out
9/18 – Had won over 7f before
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won by trainer John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/8
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: Apollo One was hugely impressive on debut last week at HQ and despite more needed in this higher grade looks an exciting 2 year-old for the Peter Charalambous team. Andrew Balding has a 22% record with his juveniles at the track so his KING VEGA is worth an interest too. Second on debut here so we know the track suits and with that experience under his belt should improve a lot. Etonian won on debut over this CD too and can go well, while DARK LION, with Ryan Moore riding, will find this easier than the G2 Vintage Stakes (6th) he ran in last time out. He was a bit short of room that day, so would have probably got closer to the useful Battleground that day. In calmer waters here and with Moore taking over he’s the other main pick. Of the rest, the Mark Johnston yard have Forever Grateful and Dubai Fountain in the race. The former is the lesser exposed of the two after a fair second on debut at Donny and should improve for that. Dubai Fountain is the joint most experienced runner in the race here (4 runs) and has been placed in G3 and Listed races already to suggest she can get in the shake-up too – especially getting 3lbs from the others.
