Run over 1m4f the Bet365 Old Newton Cup is staged at Haydock racecourse.
This handicap race has seen 11 of the last 18 renewals being won by a 4 year-olds, while 13 of the last 18 winners carried 9-1 or less in weight.
We give you all the key stats ahead of the 2020 renewal, this year run on Sunday July 5th.
Recent Old Newton Cup Winners
2019 – Kelly’s Dino (14/1)
2018 – Rainbow Rebel (12/1)
2017 – Dylan Mouth (25/1)
2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)
Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends
16/18 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
14/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
13/18 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/18 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
12/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/18 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Irish or USA bred
10/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/18 – Raced within the last 7 days
7/18 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/18 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 12/1
19 runners here but some fair trends to note. With 14 of the last 18 winners aged 5 or younger, then this is a negative for the likes of Scarlet Dragon, Frankuus, Anythingtoday, Euchen Glen, Hochfeld, Star Of The East & Glencadam Glory, who are all 6+ year-olds. 13 of the last 18 carried 9-1 or less in weight, while 12 of the last 18 came from stalls 13 or lower. Taking all that into account the Mark Johnston runner THE TRADER (e/w) ticks a lot of the main trends. This 4 year-old has still 1 and only 9-0 to carry. He was a nice winner at HQ last month on his return to the track and a 6lb rise for that looks fair as he won by just under 3 lengths. Jockey PJ McDonald rides too and he’s got a great record on the horse 1-2-3-1! Of the rest, the Stoute runner – Laafy – is sure to attract attention and we can expect the Balding runner – Ranch Hand – to have improved for it’s run last month (6th) at Royal Ascot. But the other pick is LE DON DE VIE (e/w), from the Hughie Morrison team. This 4 year-old ran a cracker to be fourth in the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes at Royal Ascot last time and despite having 5 ½ lengths to find with the winner of that race – Scarlet Dragon – a combination of that being his first run back and a 7lb swing in the weights suggests there will be less between them here. Course winner, Babbo’s Boy, Deja and Dal Horrisgle are three others that could easily go well in a very competitive handicap.
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