2020 Epsom Oaks Free Tips and Trends

Magna Grecia

Run over 1m4f the Epsom Oaks is the third of the five English Classics to be run each season and is for 3 year-old fillies.

Did you know that 11 of the last 18 winners came from stall 5 or higher?

Here at RACING AHEAD we take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key trends and trainer stats ahead of the 2020 Epsom race – Normally run in June, but this year the race has been moved and is set to run later in the year on Saturday July 4th.

Recent Epsom Oaks Winners

2019 – Anapurna (8/1)
2018 – Forever Together (7/1)
2017 – Enable (6/1)
2016 – Minding (10/11 fav)
2015 – Qualify (50/1)
2014 – Taghrooda (5/1)
2013 – Talent (20/1)
2012 – Was (20/1)
2011 – Dancing Rain (20/1)
2010 – Snow Fairy (9/1)
2009 – Sariska (9/4 fav)
2008 – Look Here (33/1)
2007 – Light Shift (13/2)
2006 – Alexandrova (9/4 fav)
2005 – Eswarah (11/4 jfav)
2004 – Ouija Board (7/2)
2003 – Casual Look (10/1)
2002 – Kazzia (10/3 fav)

Epsom Oaks Betting Trends

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
15/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/18 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
11/18 – Won from stall 5 or higher
11/18 – Favourites that were placed
10/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/18 – Returned a double-figure price
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Irish-trained winners
4/18 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/18 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/18 – Had run at the course before
7 of the last 13 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 6 runnings.
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 11.5/1
Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 16 runnings

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: A nice renewal of the Epsom Oaks, but one that does lack a bit of depth and does have a certainly ‘match-feel’ to it with the easy 1,000 Guineas winner – Love – and recent Royal Ascot scorer – FRANKLY DARLING – the two big players in question. Love will be looking to give the powerful Aidan O’Brien camp their eighth win in this Group One and the way she demolished a good Guineas field at HQ last month suggests she’s a very useful filly. He breeding also indicates there could be even more to come over this longer trip and I’d certainly not want to put anyone off her. However, this is still the furthest by some way that she’s gone (half a mile) and with her nearest rival – FRANKLY DARLING – being already proven over this trip when taking the Ribblesdale Stakes at Ascot last month, then at least we know there are no stamina doubts surrounding this John Gosden runner. The Gosden camp have also won 3 of the last 6 renewals of this race and just like Love, this Frankel filly also has a top-class breeding behind her. Frankie Dettori will ride and despite this being a step up in grade again, she showed an eye-catching turn-of-foot that day and so of the two big guns in the race I’m happy to stick with her. Of the rest, Ennistymon was runner-up to Frankly Darling at Ascot and can run another solid race, while the Roger Varian runner – Gold Wand landed a fair maiden at Newbury last time out and is out of the former Derby winner – Golden Horn – so is another that could have more to come on just her third outing.

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