Run over 1m6f the Skybet-sponsored Ebor Handicap is open to horses aged 3 or older and is run at York racecourse in August at their 4-day Ebor Festival Meeting. We’ve only seen one winning favourite land the prize in the last 21 years, so be wary of the market leaders, while with 17 of the last 18 winners were aged 6 or younger then you might want to avoid any older horses in the race.
We look back at past winners and give you the key trends ahead of Europe’s most valuable flat handicap race – run this year on Saturday August 22nd 2020.
Key Ebor Handicap Betting Trends
17/18 – Carried 9-5 or less
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/18 – Won from a double-figure stall
12/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/18 – Winning Distance – 1 length or less
11/18 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Had run at York before
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Irish-trained winners (5 of the last 11)
4/18 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/18 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/18 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/18 – Winning favourites
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 21/1
Past Skybet Ebor Winners
2019 – Mustajeer (16/1)
2018 – Muntahaa (11/1)
2017 – Nakeeta (12/1)
2016 – Heartbreak City (15/2)
2015 – Litigant (33/1)
2014 – Mutual Regard (20/1)
2013 – Tiger Cliff (5/1)
2012 – Willing Foe (12/1)
2011 – Moyenne Corniche (25/1)
2010 – Dirar (14/1)
2009 – Sesenta (25/1)
2008 – All The Good (25/1)
2007 – Purple Moon (7/2 fav)
2006 – Mudawin (100/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (11/1)
2004 – Mephisto (6/1)
2003 – Saint Alebe (20/1)
2002 – Hugs Dancer (25/1)
Note: 2008 renewal at Newbury over 1m3f
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: 22 runners head to post here, but some key trends to help whittle the runners down. With 17 of the last 18 winners carrying 9-5 or less, then this looks to be a negative for the top 8 on the card – Deja, Communique, Trueshan, Fujaira Prince, Pable Escobar, True Self, Ghostwatch and Pondus – there’s some well-fancied runners in that bunch too! 17 of the last 18 winners were also aged 6 or younger – this is not great news for the likes of True Self, Stargazer, Scarlet Dragon, Verdana Blue and Euchen Glen – 12 of the last 18 winners were actually aged 4 or 5. Having a double-figure draw has also been a help in recent years, while winning form over at least 1m4f in the past is a plus. With all that in mind, the William Haggas runner – MONICA SHERIFF (e/w) – could be the answer. Yes, she’s not been out since October, but heads here having won her last five races and would have been well tuned-up for this. She was last seen winning a G3 in France and is a horse that’s won over this 1m6f and also acts with a bit of cut if any more rain comes. Draw 21 looks ideal and she gets in her with a fair weight of 9-2. I was also taken with the way ISLAND BRAVE (e/w) won it’s last race at Ascot and even though is up 6lbs for that, we know he stays further than this 1m6f trip and that will help in the closing stages. The final one I’ll be playing is the Andrew Balding SHAILENE (e/w), who ran well (2nd) at Goodwood last time out. She wasn’t beaten far that day (1/2 length) and is only 3lbs higher – jockey Oisin Murphy gets the leg-up.
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