Yes, a top three days of action ahead on the Knavesmire as York racecourse stages their Dante Festival Meeting (Weds 13th- Fri 15th May), and here at RACING AHEAD we’ll be covering ALL the LIVE ITV races over the fixture from a trends angle.
We’ll have plenty more Classic clues on offer, none more so that the Dante Stakes on Thursday – a race that has produced four Epsom Derby winners in the last 17 years. We’ve also key races like the Musidora Stakes (Weds) and Yorkshire Cup (Fri) to take in on what’s set to be a cracking three days.
Like all big race days we’ve got the main trends and stats to apply to the race. We’re sure these will help point you find the best profiles of past winners and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners. So, let’s get going!
YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)
DAY ONE, Wednesday, 13th May 2020
1.50 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV
16/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Rated between 80 and 93
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/16 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
11/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
8/16 – Had run at York before
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Unplaced last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
2019 Winner: First Eleven (5/1)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………
2.25 – Infinity Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
14/18 – Had run at York before (5 won at the track before)
14/18 – Had won over this trip before
11/18 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/18 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Won their previous race
1/18 – Winning outright favourite
9 of the last 11 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
2019 Winner: Soldier’s Minute (20/1)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………..
3.00 – Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV
17/18 – Came from stall 9 or lower
16/18 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
16/18 – Had won over 6f before
13/18 – Had run at York before
13/18 – Had a previous race that season
13/18 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
12/18 – Came from stall 7 or lower
10/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/18 – Unplaced last time out
7/18 – Won by the favourite
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Won their last race
5/18 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/18 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2019 Winner: Invincible Army (7/2 jfav)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow………………
3.35 – Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV
17/18 – Had won a race before
15/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had a previous run that season
14/18 – Finished 4th or better last time
13/18 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
11/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
8/18 – Won by the favourite
8/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
5/18 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 9)
4/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of last 5)
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
1/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Sariska 2009)
0/18 – Had run at York before
11 of the last 14 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won the race
2019 Winner: Nausha (14/1)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………………….
=========================================================
DAY TWO, Thursday, 14th May 2020
1.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Cl2 5f ITV
12/12 – Had raced at York before
11/12 – Failed to win last time out
11/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/12 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Came from a single-figure draw
9/12 – Returned a double-figure price
9/12 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
10/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/12 – Aged 6 or older
7/12 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
6/12 – Favourites placed
5/12 – Rated between 87-92
5/12 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
2/12 – Trained by Michael Easterby
0/12 – Winning favourites
El Astronaute won the race in 2018
Duke Of Firenze won the race in 2016 and 2017
2019 Winner: Copper Knight (8/1)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow……………….
2.25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV
16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Won over 1m2f before
13/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Having first run of the season
9/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/16 – Winning favourites (including 7 of last 12)
9/16 – Had raced at York before
5/16 – Winners from stall 4
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Had won at York before
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/16 – Irish trained winners
1/16 – French trained winners
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
2019 Winner: Lah Ti Dar (1/3 fav)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow………………
3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV
16/18 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
14/18 – Finished third or better last time out
12/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Had a previous race that season
11/18 – Won their previous race
9/18 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
4/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/18 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
3/18 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 5 runnings)
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
1/18 – Had run at York before
0/18 – Winners from stall 2
Just 2 winning favourites in the last 13 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) was the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
2019 Winner: Telecaster (7/1)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………….
3.35 – Matchbook Betting Podcast Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV
15/15 – Rated between 96-105
14/15 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
14/15 – Had won over a mile before
13/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
12/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
10/15 – Came from a single-figure draw
10/15 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/15 – Placed last time out
7/15 – Aged 4 years-old
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/15 – Won last time out
2019 Winner: What’s The Story
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow………………
==========================================================
DAY THREE, Friday, 15th May 2020
1.50 – Langleys Solicitors EBF Stallions Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV
14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
13/15 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Winners from stall 9
6/15 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 9 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 12 winners
2019 Winner: Good Vibes (10/1)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………..
2.25 – Oaks Farm Stables Fillies´ Stakes (Registered As The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV
14/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
14/14 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
14/14 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
11/14 – Had won over at least 7f before
10/14 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
7/14 – Horses from stall 1 placed
7/14 – Raced at either Newmarket (5) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2019 Winners: Magnetic Charm (7/1)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow……………..
3.00 – Matchbook Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV
16/16 – Came from stall 7 or lower
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
15/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/16 – Had run at York before
8/16 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
7/16 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
7/16 – Came from stall 4 or 7
7/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Stradivarius has won the last two runnings
2019 Winner: Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow…………….
3.35 – Matchbook ‘Best Value’ Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV
17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
16/17 – Had run over 1m2f before
14/17 – Didn’t win their last race
13/17 – Came from stall 5 or higher
13/17 – Won over at least 1m2f before
12/17 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
12/17 – Had a previous run that season
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 7 of the last 11 years)
9/17 – Finished third or better last time out
5/17 – Had run at York before
5/17 – Won by the favourite
3/17 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/17 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
11 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
RACING AHEAD VERDICT: To Follow……………
================================================================================
