2019 Great St Wilfrid Handicap Trends

Named after St.Wilfrid, the patron saint of Ripon, this Saturday’s 6f contest is the highlight of the season for Ripon racecourse, based in North Yorkshire.

Sponsored by leading bookmaker William Hill the race is for horses aged 3 or older, while – did you know – 12 of the last 17 winners returned a double-figure price in the betting?

We guide you through the 2019 renewal – this year staged on Saturday 17th August.

 

Recent Great St Wilfrid Winners

2018 – Gunmetal (10/1)
2017 – Mattmu (25/1)
2016 – Nameitwhatyoulike (16/1)
2015 – Don’t Touch (4/1 fav)
2014 – Out Do (7/1 fav)
2013 – Baccarat (9/2 fav)
2012 – Pepper Lane (20/1)
2011 – Pepper Lane (11/1)
2010 – Damika (18/1)
2009 – Markab (7/2 fav)
2008 – Tajneed (17/2)
2007 – Kostar (10/1)
2006 – Excusez Moi (10/1)
2005 – Ice Planet (10/1)
2004 – Smokin Beau (16/1)
2003 – Hidden Dragon (16/1)
2002 – Deceitful (20/1)

Key Great St Wilfrid Betting Trends

15/17 – Previous winners over 6f
14/17 – Didn’t win last time out
13/17 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/17 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/17  – Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
7/17 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
4/17 – Winning favourites (3 in the last 6 years)
3/17 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 8)
3/17 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 6)
1/17 – Aged 3 years-old
Gunmetal won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 12.5/1

RACING AHEAD VERDICT: Last year’s winner – Gunmetal – will be looking to become the first back-to-back winner since 2012, but draw 3 might not be ideal (won from 19 last year) and he’s 4lbs higher this time. We’ve also got last year’s runner-up DAKOTA GOLD (e/w) in the race and despite being 8lbs higher this year, this Michael Dods runner has a better draw in 15. He also heads here in top form after winning well at York last time and is only 2lbs higher for that success. Any further rain is fine too. The David O’Meara yard have won this race three times since 2011, so their runners – Muscika, Intisaab, Gulliver and Summerghand – can’t be overlooked. Of that bunch, the consistent Muscika should go well, but draw 6 makes life hard. Horses from stall one have a poor record, so course and distance winner – Citron Major – is overlooked. But the other one that might be worth an interest is REPUTATION (e/w). This Ruth Carr-trained 6 year-old has been handed draw 11, which should just about be okay. Ignore the last run as reared at the start, but prior to that had run well in the three runs at HQ (two) and Haydock. He’s also a proven CD winner – dotted-up by 3 lengths here back in April – and has a better draw than when running 9th in this 12 months ago.

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