Some nice jumping cards to look forward to this Saturday from Warwick and Kempton, with nine races being shown LIVE on ITV4 across the two tracks.
The clear highlights on the day are the Grade 3 Agetur UK Ltd Classic Handicap Chase (3.00), at Warwick– a race trainer Paul Nicholls has won three times since 2006, and at Kempton the Listed Lanzarote Hurdle (2.40) – a prize that the Nicky Henderson yard have landed three times since 2013 – is their showcase event.
As normal, here at RACING AHEAD we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.
Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.30 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV4
10/10 – Aged 8 or older
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Had run at the track before
8/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/10 – Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
6/10 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016
2.05 – Coral Silviniaco Conti Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
8/9 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
7/9 – Aged 8 or older
6/9 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
6/9 – Winning favourites
5/9 – Had won over fences at the trackTrainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022, 2019, 2017 & 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2020 and 2021
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
2.40 – Coral Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4
21/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
18/21 – Aged 7 or younger
18/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/21 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
15/21 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
15/21 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
15/21 – Irish (9) or French (6) bred
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/21 – Carried 10-11 or less
12/21 – Aged 6 years-old
9/21 – Placed favourites
9/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 10)
3/21 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (38 runnings) 35 winners have been aged 7 or younger
A claiming jockey has won 6 of the last 9 runnings
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1
Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.50 – eventmasters.co.uk Hampton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m ITV4
15/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/15 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
12/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/15 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
11/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Aged 7 years-old
10/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Alan King
2/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2.25 – Ballymore Leamington Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV4
16/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
15/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Placed favourites
3/16 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune, Willoughby Court, 2017 Neptune)
2/16 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 10)
3.00 – Wigley Group Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV4
16/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
13/17 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
13/17 – Officially rated between 129-140
13/17 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
12/17 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
11/17 – Won by an Irish bred horse
11/17 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
11/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
10/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/17 – Favourites placed
8/17 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
6/17 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
6/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
4/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Alan King
2/17 – Trained by Emma Lavelle (2 of the last 9)
10 of the last 12 Classic Chase winners aged 9 or younger
Just two winning favourites in the last 17 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/1
3.35 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4
17/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
16/17 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
14/17 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
13/17 – Carried 11-0 or less
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Officially rated between 126-142
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
11/17 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Placed favourites
6/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/17 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/17 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/17 – Winning favourites
11 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or younger
4 of the last 9 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
