The ITV cameras are doing overtime at the moment with the latest fixture being the New Year’s Day card at Cheltenham. Plenty to get excited about with four more LIVE races on ITV to take in including the Dipper Novices’ Chase and Relkeel Hurdle as we welcome 2023 in with a bang.
So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at RACING AHEAD with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.20 – Paddy Power Novices’ Chase (Reg as the Dipper Novices’ Chase) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m 4 ½f
19/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (2 winners)
16/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
15/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
14/19 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
14/19 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
11/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Won last time out
9/19 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
9/19 – Aged 7 years-old
7/19 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
7/19 – Ran at either Sandown or Cheltenham last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 5)
2/19 – Trained by Tizzard yard (2 of the last 11)
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of the last 9)
1/19 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase, Cheltenham Festival (My Way De Solzen, 2007)
1/19 – Went onto win the Brown Advisory Chase, Cheltenham Festival (L’Homme Presse 2022)
1.55 – Paddy Power New Year’s Day Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV
19/19 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
18/19 – Raced within the last 2 months
16/19 – Had won at least twice over fences before
16/19 – Either French (6) or Irish (10) bred
16/19 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
16/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Rated 138 or higher
13/19 – Aged 8 or older
13/19 – Carried 11-0 or less
13/19 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/19 – Unplaced last time out
12/19 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard (4 of the last 8)
1/19 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
2.30 – [email protected] Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV
16/18 – Won by either a French (6) or Irish (10) bred
16/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
14/18 – Had raced at Cheltenham before (note, 2021 running was at Kempton)
12/18 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
12/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/18 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
7/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
Note: The 2021 running was staged at Kempton
3.05 – Paddy Power Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV
16/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
14/18 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
13/18 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
13/18 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
13/18 – Rated 130 or higher
11/18 – Unplaced last time out
11/18 – Carried 10-9 or more
10/18 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/18 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
7/18 – French bred
5/18 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
5/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/18 – Won by a mare
1/18 – Went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)
Dolphin Square (28/1) won the race in 2022
