This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock – Did you know that 16 of the last 20 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 15 of the last 20 came from stalls 5 or higher?
Here at RACING AHEAD we are on hand with all the key trends and stats – use these to help find the best winning profiles of past winners.
Saturday 3rd September 2022
HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.15 – Betfair Daily Tips On Betting.Betfair Ascendant Stakes (Listed Stakes) Cl1 (2yo) 1m ITV
13/13 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
13/13 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/13 – Foaled in March or April
11/13 – Had at least 2 previous runs
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Irish bred
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had won just once before
7/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ran at York last time out
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1 (3), 6 (3) or 3 (2)
The Richard Hannon yard have won 3 of the last 10
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: NAVAL POWER
RACING AHEAD DANGER: SEEKING GOLD
1.45 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV
16/18 – Won over 1m or further before
16/18 – Won 3 or more times before
15/18 – Winning distance 1 length or more
13/18 – Had won a Listed or better race before
13/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Had won at Haydock before
3/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Trained by Brian Ellison
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: REACH FOR THE MOON
RACING AHEAD DANGER: DARK SHIFT
2.20 – Get Daily Rewards With Betfair Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV
12/13 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
12/13 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Rated between 81-90 (inc)
7/13 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
7/13 – Irish Bred
6/13 – Placed favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Ran at either York (5) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Favourite Moon (9/4) won the race in 2020
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: THUNDERING (e/w)
RACING AHEAD DANGER: OPEN CHAMPION (e/w)
2.55 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV
18/19 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/19 – Had won at least twice before
17/19 – Had run 4 or more times that season
15/19 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Rated 90 to 101
14/19 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/19 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
11/19 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
11/19 – Had run over 1m6f before
10/19 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/19 – Ran at Haydock before
8/19 – Ran at York last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/19 – Trained by Iain Jardine
2/19 – Trained by Ian Williams
Island Brave (10/1) won the race in 2021
Euchen Glen (14/1) won this race in 2020
Reshoun (6/1) won this race in 2018
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: SOULCOMBE
RACING AHEAD DANGER: GOLDEN FLAME (e/w)
3.30 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV
18/20 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
17/20 – Rated 111 or higher
17/20 – Had won over 6f before
16/20 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
16/20 – Aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/20 – Didn’t win their previous race
15/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
14/20 – Winning distance 1 length or less
14/20 – Had won a Group race before
13/20 –Had 4 or more runs that season
10/20 – Had run at Haydock before (4 had won)
10/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/20 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (6) last time out
8/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/20 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 17/2
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: MINZAAL
RACING AHEAD DANGER: BRAD THE BRIEF (e/w)
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)
3.10 – National Racehorse Week Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV
11/11 – Had won over 7f before
11/11 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had run at the course before
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Won by a claiming jockey (5 of the last 8)
5/11 – Had between 4-7 wins already
4/11 – Rated between 95-97
3/11 – Aged 5 years-old
2/11 – Winners from stall 12
0/11 – Winning favourites
Top Secret (5/1) won the race in 2021
Documenting (14/1) won the race in 2020
Salute The Soldier (10/1) won the race in 2019
Ripp Orf (7/1) won the race in 2018 and was second in 2019
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: ARATUS (e/w)
RACING AHEAD DANGER: FRESH
3.45 – Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV
10/12 – Rated between 84-95
10/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/12 – Had won just once before
6/12 – Horses placed from stall 10
7/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
6/12 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price
5/12 – Horses placed from stall 8
6/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/12 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/12 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: LA YAKEL
RACING AHEAD DANGER: CHAIRMAN (e/w)
Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
2.05 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had won over 1m4f before (or further)
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
11/16 – Didn’t win last time out
10/16 – Had won between 4-7 times before
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/16 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
9/16 – Had run at Kempton before
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/16 – Aged 4 years-old
4/16 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 7)
3/16 – Winners from stall 2
3/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
Hamish (9/1) won the race in 2021
Enable won the race in 2018 and 2020
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: DUBAI HONOUR
RACING AHEAD DANGER: SOLID STONE
2.40 – Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Cl2(3yo+) 1m ITV
15/15 – Had run at Kempton before
13/15 – Had won over a mile before
12/15 – Won between 3-7 times before
11/15 – Unplaced favourites
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
6/15 – Rated between 77-85
6/15 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 14 (3) or 16 (2)
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: SPIRIT OF THE BAY
RACING AHEAD DANGER: MORGAN FAIRY
