It’s been a great week so far and we have landed plenty of winners. With just two days left I’m hoping we can continue the streak and go out on a high. Three tips from Goodwood for today and first up is CELESTRAN for the John Gosden yard. After this free going horse won at Yarmouth on seasonal reappearance I think he went into plenty of notebooks and looked destined for better things. A below par run here at Goodwood followed and a subsequent defeat at Ascot means he still lines up here off 88. Although defeated there was plenty to like about both runs; the Goodwood form looks strong although I don’t think he was at his best that day and the Ascot run was solid, he was just faced with an impossible task conceding so much weight to a progrssive type. I think he still has plenty of mileage left in the clock and his trainer doesn’t have many exposed handicappers in his yard so expect him to go close in what isn’t all that strong an event.
It’s been a quiet week for Frankie so far but I’m hoping he can burst into life on day 4 as not only do I fancy Celestran, I also like his second ride, VALERIA MESSALINA, for the Jessie Harrington yard. This filly caught my eye in the Irish 1000 Guineas as she had the field off the bridle whilst still travelling powerfully a furlong out. She faded badly in the final furlong with Harrington suggesting she didn’t quite stay the trip and that excuse seemed reasonable given she won next time out over 7f at Cork. Her presence here is telling as Harrington doesn’t send them over to Goodwood for a holiday as her runner proved yesterday, almost winning at a big price. With Frankie jumping off Wasmya to ride I think she could be well worth an each way punt at a decent price.
Loyal readers know the regard I hold LIBERTY BEACH in and I really hope she has her day in the sun today. She ran a blinder at Ascot but just found the stiff 5f in the Kings Stand a step too far but still finished 3rd. She then got collared late on at Sandown after hitting the front a decade early at a stiff track like Sandown. Back at the scene of her most dominant performance I anticipate her to get a lot closer to Battaash. This speedy 5f will be right up her street and I can see her running a huge race at favourable odds. It’s worth remembering Battaash isn’t one to rely on at cramped odds and he is due a below par run so don’t be surprised to see John Quinn’s flying filly reverse that Ascot form.
Goodwood 1.10 – Celestran – 1pt e/w
Goodwood 1.45 – Valeria Messalina – 1pt e/w
Goodwood 3.15 – Liberty Beach – 1.5pts e/w
It’s lining up to be a relatively steady Saturday for me as there isn’t anything jumping off the page. Having said that, I simply have to have a punt in the Stewards Cup as I wouldn’t be much of a tipster if I didn’t. I’m playing two at a price and first up is last year’s second OPEN WIDE for local trainer Amanda Perrett. He lined up in last year’s race off 95 and he probably would have won an average renewal but unfortunately last year’s race was taken by future Group horse, Khaadem. With that in mind though, you have to give him a big chance of going one better this year off a 3lb lower mark. His form isn’t inspiring but you get the feeling this race has been the plan since he crossed the line in second last year. I worry his hold up style is unsuited to how the sprint races are playing out this week but from stall 12 he should be able to follow the best side and get a good tow into the race.
If the pace doesn’t collapse then I should still have a chance as I’m likely to have a punt on TERENTUM STAR who showed more of his old vigour last week at York. It’s been a while since we have seen him put in a run like that which hopefully means he is coming back to somewhere near his best. I’m hoping that run will have given him a bit of confidence that he might just need and it’s worth remembering his trainer has been known to take the odd sprint around here.
My next tip is a question that I get asked most days. ANYTHINGTODAY looks handicapped to win of these races having shown plenty for new trainer Roger Fell in recent starts. I backed him in the John Smith’s Cup at York and was counting my money as he sauntered into the race on the bridle 2f out. Unfortunately he couldn’t sustain his challenge in what was a muddling race (winner excluded). He does look of interest back in these calmer waters with a top apprentice, Angus Villiers, in the saddle. I have no prices to go off but I’m hopeful he will open up at quite a tasty price.
The last tip is given purely because I’ve tipped her twice this season already but she has yet to make it into the stalls so if I don’t tip her, she’s bound to go in. ROSADORA is clearly a quirky horse but I’m hoping once she starts a race she might prove herself to be quite a talented horse too. She was a tough two year old and given how Ralph Beckett is looking after her this year by not just chucking her in anywhere, I’m thinking she has trained on and she is on quite a lenient mark. If she enters the stalls, she wins…I think!
Goodwood 3.35 – Open Wide – 1pt e/w
Goodwood 5.10 – Anythingtoday – 1pt e/w
Newmarket 2.40 – Rosadora – 1pt e/w