It’s DAY ONE of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (11th) and to get us off-and-running the ITV cameras have FOUR LIVE races from Prestbury Park for us to take in.
So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at RACING AHEAD with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get GOING!
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends
1:45 – Mucking Brilliant Paddy Power Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 2m ITV4
18/19 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/19 – Raced at Cheltenham before
16/19 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
16/19 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/19 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Having their first run of the season
8/19 – French-bred horse
4/19 – Favourites that won
4/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/19 – Won their most recent race
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/19 – Trained by Paul Henderson (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/19 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan (2 of the last 4)
0/19 – Irish-trained winners
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: THE GLANCING QUEEN
RACING AHEAD DANGER: GREY DIAMOND
2.20 – SSS Super Alloys Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV4
19/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
17/19 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
17/19 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
16/19 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
16/19 – Finished in the top three in their latest race
14/19 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
14/19 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
13/19 – Favourites placed
11/19 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old (10 of last 14 runnings)
10/19 – Raced already that season
9/19 – Irish-bred horse
9/19 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
9/19 – Won their latest race
8/19 – French-bred horse
8/19 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/19 – First run over fences
7/19 – Favourites that won
6/19 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
5/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: PULL AGAIN GREEN
RACING AHEAD DANGER: SUPER SIX
2.55 – Glenfarclas Veterans’ Handicap Chase GBB Race) Cl2 2m4f ITV4
No previous runnings
Trainer Kerry Lee has a 15% record with her chasers at the track
Jockey Richard Patrick has a 20% record riding over fences at the track
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: MAGIC DANCER
RACING AHEAD DANGER: BALLYANDY
3.30 – Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4
17/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/17 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
13/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
13/17 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
12/17 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
12/17 – Aged 5 years-old
11/17 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Won just once before (under rules)
6/17 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/17 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: HERMES ALLEN
RACING AHEAD DANGER: WEVEALLBEENCAUGHT
