Sat TV Trends and Tips: 10th June 23

Another busy Saturday of ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from and . As always, here at AHEAD we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

1.15 – Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
12/13 – Aged 5 or older
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
12/13 – Had won over 5f before
10/13 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
10/13 – Won between 6-8 times before
10/13 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
9/13 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
9/13 – Had run at the course before
9/13 – Winning distance 1 length or less
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
5/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by
Raasel won the race in 2022
The last 10 winners came between stalls 2-10
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster

1.50 Reverence Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV

5/5 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/5 – Drawn in stalls 6 or higher
4/5 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
2/5 – Trained by David O’Meara
0/5 – Winning favourites
Silver Samurai won the race last year

2.25 – Vulcan Village Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV

1 previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 9 from 112 with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Loughnane is just 3 from 42 with this 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – Lester Piggott Stakes (Reg as the Pinnacle Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV

19/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
17/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Rated 92 or higher
15/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Aged 4 years-old
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/20 – Had run at Haydock before
6/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Trained by
2/20 – Ridden by Frankie
The last 7 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

3.35 – John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Rated 106 or higher
17/19 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
16/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had won over 7f before
15/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/19 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/19 – Favourites placed
6/19 – Had run at the track before
6/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 Co)
3/19 – Ridden by
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/19 – Aged 9 years-old
8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 4-6
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

2.05 – Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

15/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
13/17 – Had won just once before
12/17 – Irish bred
12/17 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
11/17 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
10/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/17 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/17 – Raced at last out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17– Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 6/1
11 of the last 12 winners drawn 9 or lower
10 or the last 12 winners were foaled in Feb or March
8 of last 13 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)

2.40 – bet365 Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2 f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Michael and David Easterby has a 24% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 20% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tina Jackson is just 1 from 28 with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Shane Gray is just 1 from 28 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.15 – bet365 Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Colts & Geldings Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

13/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Feb, March or April bred
13/13 – Drawn in 6 or lower
11/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/13 – Won over 5f before
9/13 – Won at least once before
8/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Had raced twice or more
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Drawn in stall 1
3/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 21% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Craig Lister has a 30% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
The Andrew Balding yard have a 100% (2-from-2) record with their 2 year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

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