It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends ……
Yes, a huge day ahead this Saturday as we end the jumps season with a cracking card at Sandown – four LIVE races on ITV, including the Bet365 Gold Cup – while there is also LIVE action at Haydock and Leicester – with their races are covered too.
So, put the odds in your favour – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, here at RACING AHEAD we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners and pay for the weekend expenses.
Let’s get started!
SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
1.05 – bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV
Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged between 4-6 years old
3/4 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/4 – Carried 11st 7lbs or more in weight
2/4 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/4 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 40% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
1.40 – bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV
19/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/19 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
17/19 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
16/19 – Aged 9 or younger
16/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
15/19 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
14/19 – Rated 160 or higher
14/19 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/19 – Winning favourite
7/19 – Irish bred
7/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 7 times in all)
5/19 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 4 of last 6)
4/19 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/19 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (4 of the last 6)
3/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/19 – Irish-trained winners
Greaneteen won the race in 2021 & 2022
2.15 – bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV
18/19 – Had raced in the last 63 days
17/19 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
15/19 – Had won over 3m or further before
15/19 – Aged 9 or younger
14/19 – Carried 11-0 or less
13/19 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Officially rated 140 or higher
11/19 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
11/19 – Had raced in the last 25 days
11/19 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/19 – Won with 10st in weight
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/19 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
3/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/19 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
2/19 – Trained by Alan King (2 of last 3 winners)
0/19 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 13/1
Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts
The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
24 of the last 31 (77%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 7 of the last 19 runnings (37%)
15 of the last 19 (79%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times
2.50 – bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV
8/8 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
8/8 – Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (1) or Nicholls (3)
7/8 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
6/8 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
5/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Irish bred
4/8 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/8 – Ran at Aintree last time out
Paul Nicholls has won the last 3 runnings
3.25 – bet365 Josh Gifford Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV4
8/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/8 – Returned
7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Won between 0-2 times over fences before
7/8 – Had won over 2m4f+ before (fences)
6/8 – Aged 6 or 7
6/8 – Had run at Sandown before
6/8 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
5/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Top 3 finish last time out
4/8 – Winning distance a neck
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/2
HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
3.45 – Join Racing TV Now Handicap Cl2 7f ITV
8/9 – Won over 7f in the past
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Aged 5 or younger
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/9 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
3/9 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/9 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Trained by John Quinn
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Boardman won the race in 2022
LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
3.05 – Madri Excepcional King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV
13/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
12/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Won at least twice in the past
11/13 – Had won over 7f in the past
10/13 – Irish bred winners
10/13 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Officially rated 107 or higher
10/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Last ran 2+ months ago
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/13 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
