Another jam-packed Saturday of racing for the ITV horse racing team as they head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton to take in seven races across the three venues.
At Ascot, the Grade One Betfair Ascot Chase is the feature – a prize the Jeremy Scott-trained Dashel Drasher took in 2021 and Fakir D’oudairies won in 2022.
Up at Haydock, we’ve the Grand National Trial and Rendlesham Hurdle, while at Wincanton the Kingwell Hurdle takes centre stage – a race the Gary Moore-trained Goshen won in 2021. .
So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!
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ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (SkySportsRacing/ITV)
1.50 – Bateaux London Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV
20/20 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
17/20 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
17/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
16/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/20 – Won last time out
13/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase (2 winners)
10/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase
9/20 – Placed favourites
7/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/20 – Won by the Pipe Stable (2 of the last 8)
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/20 – Trained by Rebecca Curtis (2 of last 9)
2/20 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 4)
2.25 – LK Bennett Swinley Handicap Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m 80y ITV
12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 8 or older
10/12 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/12 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/12 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/12 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/12 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
7/12 – Aged in double-figures
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
4/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/12 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Winning Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or more
Fortescue won the race in 2022
Regal Encore won the race in 2018, was third in 2019, second in 2021 & 4th in 2022
3.00 – Ascot Racecourse Supports Box4Kids Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (GBB Race) (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV
15/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Carried 10-12 or less
11/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 or less
10/17 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
10/17 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/17 – Priced 8/1 or bigger
8/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
4/17 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/17 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/17 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Good Risk At All (6/4 fav) won the race in 2022
3.35 – Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV
20/20 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
19/20– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
18/20 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
17/20 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
16/20 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
16/20 – Officially rated 157 or higher
15/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
14/20 – Favourites placed
13/20 – Winning favourites
12/20 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/20 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
8/20 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
8/20 – Won their last race
7/20 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/20 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
6/20 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
3/20 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/20 – Trained by Alan King
2/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
11 of the last 16 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 – Run at Lingfield Park
Fakir D’oudairies (won this race in 2022)
HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)
2.05 – Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV
18/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/20 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
13/20 – Rated 145 or higher
13/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
12/20 – Aged 8 or younger
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/20 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
9/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (no winners)
9/20– Had run at Haydock before
6/20 – French-bred
6/20 – Placed favourites
4/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/20 – Winning favourites
1/20 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 – Run at Kempton Park
2.40 – Betfred Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV
20/20 – UK-based trained winners
19/20 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
18/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
16/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
16/20 – Rated 135 or higher
15/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
15/20 – Aged 10 or younger
14/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Aged 9 or younger
12/20 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/20 – Carried 11-0 or less
10/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
7/20 – Irish-bred winners
5/20 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/20 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/20 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams
5 of the last 8 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 11/1
Bristol De Mai (11/2) won this race in 2022
WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RACINGTV/ITV)
3.42- Wincanton Matchbook Jennings Bet Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV
19/19 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
18/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/19 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
17/19 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
13/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/19 – Rated 155 or higher
9/19 – Winning favourites
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19– Raced at Sandown last time out
4/19 – Trained by Alan King
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/19 – Winners that went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Goshen (10/3) won this race in 2021 and 2022
