Saturday TV Trends and Tips (29th October 2022)

Another cracking Saturday of LIVE ITV Racing and it’s jumping all the way!

At Wetherby, the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase is their main event, while at Ascot the competitive Bateaux London Gold Cup Handicap is always a competitive affair to unravel.

To help, we are on hand with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races – use these stats to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky)

1.30 – Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the
7/9 – Irish bred
7/9 – Yet to win over fences
5/9 – Aged 6 year-old
3/9 – Had run at before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by (2 of the last 5)
2/9 – Ridden by Jamie Moore (2 of the last 5)

BEST BET: GOSHEN
RACING AHEAD DANGER: COBBLERS DREAM

2.05 – Bateaux London Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/18 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
18/18 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
15/18 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/18 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
11/18 – Having their first run of the season
10/18 – Unplaced last time out
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
8/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/18 – Won by a French bred horse
6/18 – Ran at (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
4/18 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/18 – Won by trainer Alan King, including two of last 5 renewals
2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Won by trainer Paul
2/18 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 years-old

RACING AHEAD BEST BET: CALL OF THE WILD
RACING AHEAD DANGER: HACKER DES PLACES

2.40 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

16/19 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
13/19 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Irish (5) or French (8) bred
13/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/19 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
10/19 – Having their first run of the new season
8/19 – Rated 130 or lower
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Aged 8 years-old
4/19 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/19 – Won carrying 11-12
4/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Venetia Williams
5 of the last 6 winners were aged 7
Monsieur Lecoq (11/1) won the race in 2021
Amoola Gold (9/2) won the race in 2020
Diego Du Charmil (13/2) won the race in 2019

RACING AHEAD BEST BET: MOSIEUR LECOQ
RACING AHEAD DANGER: FRERO BANBOU


3.15 – Bateaux London Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

17/17 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
14/17 – Didn’t win last time out
13/17 – Had run at Ascot before (6 won)
11/17 – Carried 10-10 or more
11/17 – Aged 8 or older
10/17 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Unplaced in their last race
10/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
9/17 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
6/17 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/17 – Trained by Gary Moore (3 of the last 6)
2/17 – Ran at last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
Regal Encore won the race in 2020
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 9 or younger

RACING AHEAD BEST BET: FULL BACK  (e/w)
RACING AHEAD DANGER: REGAL ENCORE

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – bet365 Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m 3 1/2f ITV

11/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Yet to win over hurdles
9/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/11 – Top 4 finish last time out
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Past NH Flat winner
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ridden by a Conditional jockey
2/11 – Trained by Ben Pauling
2/11 – Trained by

RACING AHEAD BEST BET: PRAIRIE WOLF
RACING AHEAD DANGER: LEARNALOT

2.25 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

14/15 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/15 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
12/15 – Having their first run of the season
11/15 – Never raced at Wetherby before
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
9/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at last time out
2/15 – Trained by John Quinn
2/15 – Trained by Philip Kirby
Molly Ollys Wishes (3/1 fav) won the race in 2021

RACING AHEAD BEST BET: MOLLY OLLYS WISHES
RACING AHEAD DANGER: MARTELLO SKY

3.00 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV

20/20 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
19/20 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
18/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
16/20 – Failed to win their last race
15/20 – Officially rated 148 or higher
14/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
11/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/20 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
7/20 – Had won at Wetherby before
5/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/20 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Indefatigable (5/1) won this race in 2021

RACING AHEAD BEST BET: INDEFATIGABLE
RACING AHEAD DANGER: PROSCHEMA

3.35 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

18/20 – Rated 151 or higher
17/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Were having their first run of the season
15/20 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
14/20 – Aged 8 or older
13/20 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/20 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/20 – Ran at (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
8/20  – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 wins in total)
2/20 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/20 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 13/2
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (18 runs ago)

RACING AHEAD BEST BET: AHOY SENOR
RACING AHEAD DANGER: ELDORADO ALLEN

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