Saturday Horse Racing TV Trends (6th May 2023)

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.15 – Howden British EBF Ellen Chaloner Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly The Kilvington Stakes) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

9/9 – Aged between 3-5
9/9 – Won over 5f or 6f before
8/9 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/9 – Aged 3 years-old
6/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Came from stalls 11 (3) or 7 (2)
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by (2 of the last 4)
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 11
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

Note: The race was formerly run at from 2021 back

2.50 – Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV4

9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Won 3+ times before
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
7/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or bigger
6/10 – Rated 100+
6/10 – Ran at before (Rowley)
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Richard Fahey
0/10 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Blackrod won the race in 2022
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

3.25 – Suffolk Stakes Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV4

16/17 – Had won at least twice before
16/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/17 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
14/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
14/17 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the
11/17 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Having their first run of the season
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Irish bred
3/17 – Trained by
2/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 14 runnings

4.00 – Howden Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV4

18/20 – Had won over 5f before
18/20 – Won 3 or more times before
17/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
17/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
17/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/20 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/20– Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/20 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/20 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2 runnings)
Just 3 placed from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
5  of the last 7 runnings went to 4 year-olds
8 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

4.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV4

21/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/21 – Had won over at least 7f before
19/21 – Had won a Group race before
19/21 – Had won between 2-5 times before
17/21 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
17/21 – Won last time out
16/21 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/21 – Having their first run of the season
14/21 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/21 – Placed favourites
12/21 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/21 – Irish bred
9/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/21 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/21 – Ran at the last time out
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

– Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
– Frankie rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.05 William Hill Epic Value Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100 1m2f ITV4

Just 1 previous running
Moktasaab won the race in 2022 (W. Knight)
Trainer is just 3 from 46 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Ward is 4 from 20 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.40 – Vickers.Bet Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

11/11 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
10/11 – Won at least twice before
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Won over at least 1m before
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
9/11 – Unplaced last time out
7/11 – Won between 2-4 times
7/11 – Winners from a double-figure draw
6/11 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 16/1

Note: The 2018 running was staged at

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