The ITV horse racing team are heading to Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap the pick of the bunch. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps – as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……
Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)
1.50 – Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4
20/20 – Had won one or two races before
19/20 – Had won over 7f or further before
19/20 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
18/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/20 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/20 – Either US or Irish bred
14/20 – Had only won over 7f before
12/20 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/20 – Won last time out
7/30 – Winning favourites
5/30 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/30 – Trained by John Gosden
3/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 6 times
13 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
Note: From 2010 back, the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: FLYING HONOURS
RACING AHEAD DANGER: GREENLAND
2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4
20/20 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/20 – Had won over 6f before
18/20 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
17/20 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/20 – Had 3 or more previous runs
15/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
10/20 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/20 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/20 – Winners drawn in stall 6
4/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 of last 6 runnings)
2/20 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/20 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/20 – Trained by Brian Meehan
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: TRILLIUM
RACING AHEAD DANGER: LEZOO
3.00 – Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV4
19/19 – Won over 6f previously
18/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/19 – Won their last race
17/19 – Won at least twice previously
16/19 – Had run 3 or more times previously
16/19 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
15/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
14/19 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
7/19 – Ran at Deauville last time out
7/19 – Favourites that won
5/19 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/19 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: BLACKBEARD
RACING AHEAD DANGER: MISCHIEF MAGIC
3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV
20/20 – Aged 6 or younger
17/20 – Won 3 or more times in their career
17/20 – Carried 9-5 or less
16/20 – Won from a double-figure stall
15/20 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/20 – Unplaced favourites
14/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
14/20 – Finished 6th or better last time out
14/20 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
13/20 – Had 5 or more runs that season
13/20 – Rated between 90-100
11/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden
3/20 – Won their last race
2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
The last 7 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
14 of the last 16 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 22/1
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: MAGICAL MORNING
RACING AHEAD DANGER: JIMI HENDRIX
HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2.05 – Old Boston Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
11/15 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
11/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
9/15 – Irish bred winners
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: MONTASSIB
RACING AHEAD DANGER: BOARDMAN
2.40 – Lester Piggott First To Last Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4
15/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Came from stalls 6-11 (inc)
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/15 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
12/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Rated between 92-96
8/15 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: NIGHT ON EARTH
RACING AHEAD DANGER: EQUALITY
