Another huge Saturday ahead with the Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase – plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, here at RACING AHEAD, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.
Did you know? 18 of the last 20 Corla Gold Cup Handicap Chase winners were aged 8 or younger
Let’s get cracking!
Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.20 – Sir Peter O´Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase Cl3 2m6f93y ITV3
16/16 – Aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
13/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/16 – Aged 7 or younger
10/16 – Officially rated between 126-131
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
9/16 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
9/16 – Raced at Wincanton (4), Cheltenham (3) or Bangor (2) last time out
8/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – Had raced at Newbury over fences before
7/16 – French bred
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Winning favourites
Kapcorse (12/1) won this race in 2018 and 2021
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: KILLER KANE
RACING AHEAD DANGER: MISTER COFFEY
1.55 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV3
6 previous runnings
All of the last 6 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
4 of the last 6 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
4 of the last 6 winners carried 11st 3lbs or more in weight
3 of the last 6 winners were aged 6 years-old
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Dan Skelton, Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past
2 winning favourites (joint) in the last 5 years
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: PEKING ROSE
RACING AHEAD DANGER: WEST BALBOA
2.30 – Coral Bet Bundles Intermediate Handicap (Listed Race) (A Limited Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV3
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
14/16 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
13/16 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
12/16 – Irish, French or German bred
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/16 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Had raced at Newbury before
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/16 – Won last time out
9 of the last 15 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: FIRST STREET
RACING AHEAD DANGER: TEDDY BLUE
3.05 – Coral Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV3
18/20 – Aged 8 or younger
18/20 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
18/20 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
16/20 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
13/20 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/20 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
13/20 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
13/20 – Had a previous run that season
13/20 – Rated between 140 and 151
12/20 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
12/20 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/20 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
10/20 – Won last time out
10/20 – Ran at either Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 10)
2/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yar (2 of the last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1
11 of the last 17 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (31 runnings) there have been 14 winners (45%) aged 7 years-old
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: LE MILOS
RACING AHEAD DANGER: CORACH RAMBLER
3.40 – Coral Get Closer To The Action Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV3
18/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
12/20 – Officially rated between 126-136
12/20 – French bred
12/20 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
10/20 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
10/20 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
10/20 – Placed in their last race
10/20 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/20 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams
11 of the last 16 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: AMARILLO SKY
RACING AHEAD DANGER: BUN DORAN
Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)
1.35 – Betfair Daily Rewards Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 2m7 1/2f ITV3
11/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Carried 10st 8lbs or more
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Winning favourites
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Had run at the track before
3/11 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: SONE OF THE SOMME
RACING AHEAD DANGER: SHANTOU LUCKY
2.10 – BetFair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV
21/21 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
18/21 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
18/21 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
18/21 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
18/21 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
17/21 – Placed favourites
16/21 – Officially rated 151 or higher
13/21 – Won their last race
13/21 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
12/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/21 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/21 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
6/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (6 of last 14)
4/21 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 8)
2/21 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 11/2
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: CONSTITUTION HILL
RACING AHEAD DANGER: EPATANTE
3.25 – BetFair Exchange Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV3
17/18 – Didn’t win their last race
16/18 – Irish bred
15/18 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
14/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
13/18 – Unplaced last time out
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/18 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/18 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Aged 8 years-old
4/18 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or older
Aye Right (5/1) won the race in 2021
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: L’HOMME PRESSE
RACING AHEAD DANGER: AYE RIGHT
