This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in two Aintree contests – as always, here at RACING AHEAD we’ve got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races…..
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)
12.50 – Download The BetGoodwin App Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4
16/18 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
16/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Won from stall 12 or lower
15/18 – Rated 99 or higher
15/18 – Aged 4 or older
12/18 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/18 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/18 – Had won at Doncaster before
9/18 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/18 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Winning mare/filly
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: ART POWER
RACING AHEAD DANGER: CHIPSTEAD
1.30 Phone Betting At Goodwin Racing 08000 421 321 EBF Gillies Fillies Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4
15/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/17 – Had won at least twice before
14/17 – Had 3 or more runs that season
12/17 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
10/17 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
10/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
6/17 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
4/17 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/17 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/17 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: SWEET BELIEVER
RACING AHEAD DANGER: SOMETHING ENTICING
3.13 – BetGoodwin November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4
15/18 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
15/18 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
14/18 – Favourites that were unplaced
14/18 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/18 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
13/18 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
13/18 – Placed last time out
12/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/18 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/18 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/18 – Favourites that won
Farhan (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 11/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1995
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: ISRAR
RACING AHEAD DANGER: FARHAN
Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
12.40 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4
15/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
11/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
11/15 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
11/15 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
10/15 – Rated between 119-129
9/15 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
9/15 – Aged 6 years-old
8/15 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Had run at the track before
5/15 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 11)
2/15 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 9)
2/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: LADY ADARE
RACING AHEAD DANGER: ROSE OF ARCADIA
1.15 – Boodles ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4
14/15 – Had won no more than twice over fences
14/15 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Irish (7) or French (5) bred
11/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
11/15 – Aged 6 or younger
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
11 of the last 13 winners were aged between 5-7
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: MCFABULOUS
RACING AHEAD DANGER: SEBASTOPOL
1.50 – 61st Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4
19/19 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
17/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
16/19 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
16/19 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
16/19 – Placed in the top four in their last race
15/19 – Won at least two chase races previously
14/19 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
14/19 – Raced at the course previously (over fences)
13/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Irish-bred horse
11/19 – Raced already that season
11/19 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
10/19 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
9/19 – Priced at double-figures
8/19 – Won their latest race
8/19 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
7/19 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
7/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/19 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 6 of the last 11 years)
4/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
Rocco (40/1) won the race in 2021
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: FRODON
RACING AHEAD DANGER: CAP DU NORD
3.00 – Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4
16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/18 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/18 – Unplaced last time out
10/18 – Rated 150 or lower
9/18 – Having first run of the season
6/18 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by John Quinn
3/18 – Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 6)
Sceau Royal won this race in 2016, 2020 and 2021
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: SCEAU ROYAL
RACING AHEAD DANGER: MILKWOOD
Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.01 Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Irish (6) or French (3) bred winners
8/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
7/10 – Had won at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
6/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Had run at Aintree before (1 winner)
4/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Aintree last time out
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: GERICAULT ROQUE
RACING AHEAD DANGER: REMASTERED
2.11 – Boylesports Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV
16/17 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
15/17 – Aged 8 or older
15/17 – Rated 124 or more
13/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/17 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
12/17 – Had run at Aintree before (5 over the GN style fences)
10/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price
7/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
2/17 – Ridden by Sean Bowen1/17 – Won last time out
13 of the last 16 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 9 runnings
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: SPIRITOFTHEGAMES
RACING AHEAD DANGER: LIFETIME AMBITION
2.45 – Boylesports Best Odds Guaranteed Day Before Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f ITV4
7 previous runnings
6/7 – Aged 9 or younger
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/7 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/7 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
Brewin’upastorm won the race in 2021
RACING AHEAD BEST BET: LANGER DAN
RACING AHEAD DANGER: BREWIN’UPASTORM
